Polymarket market
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) is a Polymarket prediction market. The market currently gives ‘None’ 99% and ‘AK’ 1%. Ends Nov 3, 2026 · $79M traded.
| None | 99% |
|---|---|
| AK | 1% |
Ends Nov 3, 2026 · $79M traded
Odds as of 23:06 UTC, Nov 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027.
A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
On Polymarket, every position on Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) sits on a public profile: anyone can see which account holds what, how much, and since when. On OffMarket you trade the same market, through the same order book, at the same odds, with positions that are not publicly linked to your account.
Odds are Polymarket’s and move with its order book. On OffMarket you trade this market at the same odds, with positions that are not publicly linked to your account.
Open Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) on OffMarket
OffMarket is not affiliated with Polymarket. Read the OffMarket privacy policy and terms of service. Support: Telegram.