Polymarket market, resolved
Fed Decision in October? was a Polymarket prediction market that has now settled. The final prices were ‘No change’ 100%, ‘50+ bps decrease’ 0%, ‘25 bps decrease’ 0%. Ended Oct 28, 2026 · $101.9M traded.
| No change | 100% |
|---|---|
| 50+ bps decrease | 0% |
| 25 bps decrease | 0% |
| 25 bps increase | 0% |
| 50+ bps increase | 0% |
Ended Oct 28, 2026 · $101.9M traded
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
On Polymarket, every position on Fed Decision in October? sits on a public profile: anyone can see which account holds what, how much, and since when. On OffMarket you trade the same market, through the same order book, at the same odds, with positions that are not publicly linked to your account.
This market has settled on Polymarket. On OffMarket you trade open Polymarket markets at the same odds, with positions that are not publicly linked to your account.
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